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													<font face="Georgia" color="#003366" size="5">With More Ado About Amigo Chávez</font></b></td>
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									<font face="Georgia" style="font-size: 12px">written by<br><b>Cyrus G. Robati</b></font></td>
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	<font face="Georgia" style="font-size: 12px; line-height: 15pt"><p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height:14.4pt;background:white"><font class="Apple-style-span" face="Georgia"><b><font class="Apple-style-span" size="4"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 16px;"><br />
</span></font></b></font>
<span lang="EN-GB" style="mso-bidi-font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Georgia">There is a saying of an old saying in capital Caracas, &ldquo;A good friend will fit you like ring to finger.&rdquo; Whether that has any true meaning for Barack Obama and Hugo Ch&aacute;vez it remains to be seen, though both are unexpectedly trying to rescue the relations from the deep freezer, starting with the last month&rsquo;s Summit of the Americas that transpired in Trinidad and Tobago.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">&nbsp; </span>That summit, where the two high-profile leaders swapped barbed words with cordial ones, did spark off a spanking start that included a gift from</span><i style="mso-bidi-font-style:normal"><span style="mso-bidi-font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Georgia;color:black;mso-ansi-language:
EN-US;mso-fareast-language:EN-US"> Se&ntilde;or </span></i><span lang="EN-GB" style="mso-bidi-font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Georgia">Ch&aacute;vez, a Spanish book titled &ldquo;The Open Veins of Latin America&rdquo; by Eduardo Galeano.<o:p></o:p></span>
<i style="mso-bidi-font-style:normal"><span style="mso-bidi-font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:Georgia;color:black;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:
EN-US">Se&ntilde;or </span></i><span lang="EN-GB" style="mso-bidi-font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:Georgia">Ch&aacute;vez says he wants to re-set his relations with the &ldquo;old oppressor&rdquo;, <i style="mso-bidi-font-style:normal">Gringolandia </i>(a term Venezuelans prefer to use for America). Now each side is weighing his own time to take the next step -- a step never tried since 2001, during the daunting days of the Bush administration. <o:p></o:p></span>
<span lang="EN-GB" style="mso-bidi-font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Georgia">But there are pre-conditions Mr Obama wants in place too: he wants </span><i style="mso-bidi-font-style:normal"><span style="mso-bidi-font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:Georgia;color:black;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:
EN-US">Se&ntilde;or </span></i><span lang="EN-GB" style="mso-bidi-font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:Georgia">Ch&aacute;vez to cooperate with him over anti-drug efforts, begin issuing visas for American envoys to enter Venezuela -- a country whose defence budget is probably 1/600th of America -- and stop buying Russia weapons. In turn, </span><i style="mso-bidi-font-style:normal"><span style="mso-bidi-font-size:
10.0pt;font-family:Georgia;color:black;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:
EN-US">Se&ntilde;or </span></i><span lang="EN-GB" style="mso-bidi-font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:Georgia">Ch&aacute;vez wants continued respect from his counterpart and a muted response to his moves against his political opponents. <o:p></o:p></span>
<span lang="EN-GB" style="mso-bidi-font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Georgia">Unless the cordial contacts reflect a real change in the countries&rsquo; attitudes, however, few analysts expect the warming to last perhaps for a long time, given American actions that </span><i style="mso-bidi-font-style:normal"><span style="mso-bidi-font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Georgia;color:black;mso-ansi-language:
EN-US;mso-fareast-language:EN-US">Se&ntilde;or </span></i><span lang="EN-GB" style="mso-bidi-font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Georgia">Ch&aacute;vez has deemed hostile and his history of using Americans as a political punching bag. <o:p></o:p></span>
<span lang="EN-GB" style="mso-bidi-font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Georgia">Although, apparently </span><i style="mso-bidi-font-style:normal"><span style="mso-bidi-font-size:
10.0pt;font-family:Georgia;color:black;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:
EN-US">Se&ntilde;or</span></i><span lang="EN-GB" style="mso-bidi-font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:Georgia"> Ch&aacute;vez has always been to create conflict with an external power or entity -- be it America, Colombia or ExxonMobil -- he needs to create a smoke screen to distract the public away from the government&rsquo;s own problems and mismanagement, no matter who sits in the White House. This is what some analysts believe in that part of the region that is beset with rare cash, rebel gangs, cocaine and carjacking.<o:p></o:p></span>
<span lang="EN-GB" style="mso-bidi-font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Georgia">Yet, the history both states had before the Trinidad gathering is grim, punctuated by </span><i style="mso-bidi-font-style:normal"><span style="mso-bidi-font-size:
10.0pt;font-family:Georgia;color:black;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:
EN-US">Se&ntilde;or</span></i><span lang="EN-GB" style="mso-bidi-font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:Georgia"> Ch&aacute;vez&rsquo;s accusation that the Americans were killing babies with bombing attacks in Afghanistan in 2001 and his charge that the Bush administration officials gave at least tacit support to a 2002 coup that toppled him for three days. <o:p></o:p></span>
<span style="mso-bidi-font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Georgia;color:black;
mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:EN-US">The war of words started when <i style="mso-bidi-font-style:normal">Se&ntilde;or</i></span><span lang="EN-GB" style="mso-bidi-font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Georgia"> Ch&aacute;vez booted out the American ambassador last year in solidarity with Bolivia after his comrade and <i style="mso-bidi-font-style:normal">Presidente </i>Evo Morales did so. The Americans then retaliated by kicking out ambassadors from both countries. So the first move towards building on the amiable conversations is for Caracas and Washington to make sure diplomats-kicking will never happen again. <o:p></o:p></span>
<span lang="EN-GB" style="mso-bidi-font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Georgia">At home, Mr Obama has come under attack by conservatives though he believes it is unlikely that just &ldquo;shaking hands&rdquo; or having a polite conversation with </span><i style="mso-bidi-font-style:normal"><span style="mso-bidi-font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:Georgia;color:black;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:
EN-US">Se&ntilde;or</span></i><span lang="EN-GB" style="mso-bidi-font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:Georgia"> Ch&aacute;vez could endanger the strategic interests of his own country</span><span lang="EN" style="mso-bidi-font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Georgia;
mso-ansi-language:EN">. Former vice president Dick Cheney too is unhappy with some of Mr Obama&rsquo;s outside overtures, warning that warming up to an antagonist like </span><i style="mso-bidi-font-style:normal"><span style="mso-bidi-font-size:
10.0pt;font-family:Georgia;color:black;mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:
EN-US">Se&ntilde;or</span></i><span lang="EN-GB" style="mso-bidi-font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:Georgia"> Ch&aacute;vez</span><span lang="EN" style="mso-bidi-font-size:
10.0pt;font-family:Georgia;mso-ansi-language:EN"> will make Mr Obama &ldquo;look like a lame duck&rdquo; abroad.<o:p></o:p></span>
<span lang="EN" style="mso-bidi-font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Georgia;
mso-ansi-language:EN">Too often confessions, particularly from politicos, come by hard in the land of opportunities. That tradition was reversed by Mr Obama when he openly acknowledged, during the summit, that America has &ldquo;at times sought to dictate its terms&rdquo;. All of this, as well as the persistent pressure from presidents, including Brazil&rsquo;s Lula da Silva and Argentina&rsquo;s Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner for an end to the Cuba embargo, has widened the rift between Mr Obama and his advisers back home.<o:p></o:p></span>
<span lang="EN" style="mso-bidi-font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Georgia;
mso-ansi-language:EN">Defending her boss, Secretary of State Hillary Clinton has been more outspoken than the former. On April 24, Ms Clinton confessed during a four-hour hearing on foreign policy in the House of Representatives, &ldquo;The Ch&aacute;vez relationship ... is a result of eight years of isolating</span><span lang="EN" style="mso-bidi-font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Georgia"> </span><span lang="EN" style="mso-bidi-font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Georgia;mso-ansi-language:
EN">Ch&aacute;vez. And I don&rsquo;t think we believe it&rsquo;s worked very well ... Our belief is, if it hasn&rsquo;t worked, why keep it going? Let&rsquo;s see what else might be possible.&rdquo;<o:p></o:p></span>
<span lang="EN" style="mso-bidi-font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Georgia;
mso-ansi-language:EN">Nevertheless, the Latin hatred for American dominance is still deep that any attempt by Mr Obama to reassert authority would be a backlash, and Mr Obama is aware of that too. While Mr Obama openly outlined hemispheric issues on an equal footing with his Latin Americans at the summit, he has subtly signaled a fresh foreign policy that will be business as usual.<o:p></o:p></span>
<span lang="EN" style="mso-bidi-font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Georgia;
mso-ansi-language:EN">And although the contest against communism is a thing of the past, the current crisis of world capitalism is again posing the question: is there another way to organise society? Even with Cuba&rsquo;s colossal lack of resources and technology -- further fuelled by the America&rsquo;s embargo -- the achievements made in healthcare, education, and other fields are enough to convince many in the region that there are aspects of the Cuban economy &mdash; most notably the concept of producing to meet the needs of all Cubans and not for private profit &mdash; worth repeating.<o:p></o:p></span>
<span style="mso-bidi-font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Georgia;color:black;
mso-ansi-language:EN-US;mso-fareast-language:EN-US">Cubans feel affection for <i style="mso-bidi-font-style:normal">Se&ntilde;or</i></span><span lang="EN-GB" style="mso-bidi-font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Georgia"> Ch&aacute;vez, not only because he</span><span lang="EN" style="mso-bidi-font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Georgia;
mso-ansi-language:EN"> has been the <i style="mso-bidi-font-style:normal">Latino</i> Leftist leader, but also because he has stood the test of time while wrangling with the White House. Most Latin analysts agree to disagree on Mr Obama&rsquo;s &ldquo;charm offensive&rdquo;, seeing it as a charm in a devil&rsquo;s disguise. The conclusion that many in the region have drawn &mdash; particularly <i style="mso-bidi-font-style:normal">Se&ntilde;or</i> Ch&aacute;vez &mdash; is that the Americans are apparently cashing in on Colombians and Mexicans as a counterbalance to the loss of influence in the region. By building bulky armies in both countries, the potential to intervene in the affairs of others is enormously enhanced.<o:p></o:p></span>
<span lang="EN" style="mso-bidi-font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Georgia;
mso-ansi-language:EN">What these <i style="mso-bidi-font-style:normal">Latino</i> suspicions show is that Mr Obama is still toeing the old line of Americanism and imperialism in the region, though less directly than previous administrations. And while it is one thing to smile for the camera and shake the hands of <i style="mso-bidi-font-style:normal">Latino</i> leaders at the summit, American corporations will demand that Mr Obama be pro-active in helping them reassert themselves in the region, requiring all the intrigue and maneuvering of the past.<o:p></o:p></span>
<i style="mso-bidi-font-style:normal"><span lang="EN" style="mso-bidi-font-size:
10.0pt;font-family:Georgia;mso-ansi-language:EN">Latino</span></i><span lang="EN" style="mso-bidi-font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Georgia;mso-ansi-language:
EN"> Leftist leaders are willing to do as Mr Obama asks and put aside the grievances of the recent past, including Washington&rsquo;s documented role in overthrowing <i style="mso-bidi-font-style:normal">Se&ntilde;or</i> Ch&aacute;vez in 2002. But they can hardly ignore the present. As Mr Obama himself said at the summit, &ldquo;The test for all of us is not simply words, but also deeds.&rdquo;<o:p></o:p></span><font class="Apple-style-span" face="Georgia"><br />
</font>
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														<font face="Georgia" style="font-size: 12px; font-weight: 700">Wednesday, 3 June 2009</font>
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