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													<font face="Georgia" color="#003366" size="5">New Thermal Power Plant Investment in Tekirdag Saray Lignite Mines</font></b></td>
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									<font face="Georgia" style="font-size: 12px; font-weight: 700">Haluk Direskeneli</font><br><font face="Georgia" style="font-size: 11px">
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	<font face="Georgia" style="font-size: 12px; line-height: 15pt"><b>Tuesday, 28 July 2009</b><br><br><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:
125%"><span style="font-size:12.0pt;line-height:125%;font-family:&quot;Georgia&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;;
mso-fareast-font-family:&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;mso-bidi-font-family:&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;
color:#333333">Your writer is happy to learn the announcement of new thermal power plant investment in Tekirdag to utilize nearby Saray low LHV local lignite mine.&nbsp;<br />
<br />
A local reputable Turkish local company is planning to install a new thermal power plant to generate 2x 150 MWe electricity based on CFB technology.<br />
<br />
Prior to their EIA application, they will be organising &quot;Public Information Meeting&quot;. Details are in their web site.&nbsp;</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;line-height:125%;font-family:&quot;Georgia&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;;
mso-fareast-font-family:&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;mso-bidi-font-family:Arial;
color:#333333"><a href="http://www.saraytermiksantrali.com/" target="_blank"><span style="mso-bidi-font-family:&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;color:#114170">http://www.saraytermiksantrali.com/</span></a></span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;line-height:125%;font-family:&quot;Georgia&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;;
mso-fareast-font-family:&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;mso-bidi-font-family:Arial;
color:black"><o:p></o:p></span>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:
125%"><span style="font-size:12.0pt;line-height:125%;font-family:&quot;Georgia&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;;
mso-fareast-font-family:&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;mso-bidi-font-family:Arial;
color:#333333"><br />
</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;line-height:125%;font-family:&quot;Georgia&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;;
mso-fareast-font-family:&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;mso-bidi-font-family:&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;
color:#333333">Your writer feels happy to get such news on new energy investments in our local energy market, provided that they are environmentally friendly, they have completed all obligations for Environmental Impact Assessment Reports, they receive their license from the Local Regulatory Board, design by local engineering companies as much as possible, fabricate in the local fabrication plants as much as possible, install by our local contractors, commissioned and supervised by our local engineering power, operated by our own staff, and regularly checked by our own Labor force in programmed maintenance.<br />
<br />
Your writer sincerely feels that energy investors deserve all our support to complete those power plant investments. They deserve since they risk their own property in order to get proper &quot;Corporate Financing&quot; at reasonable interest rates, and payment terms. They will be investing 480 million USD equivalent money, which is a huge sum to finance.<br />
<br />
Hence your writer also tries to avoid them to make any technical mistakes in their power plant design, furthermore to avoid incorrect selection of the necessary equipment, wishes them to operate the plant for many years, to generate electricity which will push our economic prosperity.<br />
<br />
After reading the Project Information Brochures, we feel that they are prepared quite good. There are not much project details; only already known details are disclosed. We learn that the output capacity is 2x150 MWe.&nbsp;&nbsp;From the video in their web site, we understand that they will install air cooled cooling system. That means they will not use much underground water. That is good for nearby ongoing agricultural activities. As a matter of fact, water is scarce at the neighboring site.<br />
<br />
We do not know details of&nbsp;&nbsp;manufacturer&nbsp;&nbsp;for the&nbsp;&nbsp;selected&nbsp;&nbsp;steam turbine,&nbsp;&nbsp;CFB technology,&nbsp;&nbsp;cooling system, heat balance diagrams, fabrication, construction, site installation contractors, whether they are local or foreign, details of budget figures for each item, the timetable for project execution.<br />
<br />
It is your writer's humble feeling that we should help and warn the investor not to repeat negative past examples in&nbsp;Antalya, Denizli, Bandirma, Amasra, Yatagan,&nbsp;&nbsp;Yenikoy, Kemerkoy, Afsin.<br />
<br />
Foreign investor should be comfortable here that we are ready to help them. We should warn that they should not involve any corruption for speeding the public procedures, getting licenses, getting EIA approvals.<br />
<br />
Local investor should feel comfortable that we shall be warning them in proper design, sourcing fabrication, site installation, logistics, public approvals.&nbsp;<br />
<br />
We all expect that these energy investments will bring prosperity, employment and peace to the site. Maximized manpower, maximized engineering/ fabrication/ site installation capabilities will be employed.<br />
<br />
After brief review of the project, we feel that we need answers to the following question,&nbsp;<br />
<br />
- We need to learn the origins of the basic equipment, steam turbine,&nbsp;&nbsp;CFB&nbsp;&nbsp;steam generator, condenser, cooling tower.</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;
line-height:125%;font-family:&quot;Georgia&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;;mso-fareast-font-family:&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;
mso-bidi-font-family:Arial;color:black"><o:p></o:p></span>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:
125%"><span style="font-size:12.0pt;line-height:125%;font-family:&quot;Georgia&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;;
mso-fareast-font-family:&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;mso-bidi-font-family:&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;
color:#333333">&nbsp;</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;line-height:125%;
font-family:&quot;Georgia&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;;mso-fareast-font-family:&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;
mso-bidi-font-family:Arial;color:black"><o:p></o:p></span>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:
125%"><span style="font-size:12.0pt;line-height:125%;font-family:&quot;Georgia&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;;
mso-fareast-font-family:&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;mso-bidi-font-family:&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;
color:#333333">- What are the budget figures? When are they going to be delivered to site? How are they transported from which sea port?<br />
<br />
- Who will be designing (CFB,&nbsp;&nbsp;CMEC China?) , who will be the fabricator , who will be the construction company for site installation?<br />
<br />
- It is our understanding that they have not applied yet to EIA certification nor to the Local regulatory board for licensing. There should not be any deviation of the information they will be declaring in the local information meeting and the information they will be furnishing to the public administrations.<br />
<br />
- We would be too pleased to learn the details of their supplementary firing burners, burner management systems, emission controls. Local emission limitations are not so stringent. They should be in compliance with EU standards.<br />
<br />
- We shall be too pleased to learn where they will be purchasing the cooling towers, air cooling system design and equipment.</span><span style="font-size:
12.0pt;line-height:125%;font-family:&quot;Georgia&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;;mso-fareast-font-family:
&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;mso-bidi-font-family:Arial;color:black"><o:p></o:p></span>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:
125%"><span style="font-size:12.0pt;line-height:125%;font-family:&quot;Georgia&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;;
mso-fareast-font-family:&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;mso-bidi-font-family:Arial;
color:#333333"><br />
</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;line-height:125%;font-family:&quot;Georgia&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;;
mso-fareast-font-family:&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;mso-bidi-font-family:&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;
color:#333333">- We need to know who will be the site constructor, what is the budget figure? They should be local companies. Local labors will be at the site. You promise to have employment for 1500 workers, and then you bring Chinese workers.&nbsp;<br />
<br />
- We need to know the project period, the importance milestones; we expect that 28-30 months could be a reasonable period.<br />
<br />
- We need to know who will be making and paying the new 380 kV transmission and new natural gas incoming pipeline to the site.<br />
<br />
- We need to know when the major equipment land transportation will be made; do we have sufficient roads for that transportation, which will be making the road reinforcement to enable the transportation?<br />
<br />
- Do they have long term electricity sale agreements with TETAS?<br />
<br />
- Do they consider any capacity extension in the long term in 10-20 years time? Do they have enough space/ land for that extension??<br />
<br />
- Do investors consider any IGCC application in future by gasification of indigenous lignite mines based on clean coal technologies?<br />
<br />
- Generally we observe that after plant construction and generation of income in 3-5 years, the foreign party decides to sell her shares to the local partner and leave the project/ country. That was the case in Enron in Trakya, selling all her shares to her local partner, Steag in Sugozu. How is the long term policy of the investors in this case?<br />
<br />
- We will be too pleased to learn if the local party will be thinking to create local engineering department to carry out necessary basic engineering in the long term.<br />
<br />
- Could we Chamber of mechanical Engineers, organize annual technical tours for our members and ME students to the site in future?<br />
&nbsp;<br />
Your writer hopes all the best, and the success to the investors in their new venture</span><span style="font-size:12.0pt;line-height:125%;font-family:&quot;Georgia&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;;
mso-fareast-font-family:&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;mso-bidi-font-family:Arial;
color:#333333"><o:p></o:p></span>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:
125%"><span style="font-size:12.0pt;line-height:125%;font-family:&quot;Georgia&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;;
mso-fareast-font-family:&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;mso-bidi-font-family:Arial;
color:black">&nbsp;<o:p></o:p></span>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:
125%"><span style="font-size:12.0pt;line-height:125%;font-family:&quot;Georgia&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;;
mso-fareast-font-family:&quot;Times New Roman&quot;;mso-bidi-font-family:Arial;
color:black">--<br />
<o:p></o:p></span>
<span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Georgia; font-size: 16px; line-height: 20px; ">Haluk Direskeneli, Ankara based Energy Analyst</span>&nbsp;</font></div></td>
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														<font face="Georgia" style="font-size: 12px; font-weight: 700">Tuesday, 28 July 2009</font>
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																&nbsp;OTHER COMMENTS 
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