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													<td><b>
													<font face="Georgia" color="#003366" size="5">Israeli Pipeline: Ashelon-Eilat-The Second Breath</font></b></td>
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									<td>
									<font face="Georgia" style="font-size: 12px; font-weight: 700">Rovshan Ibrahimov</font><br><font face="Georgia" style="font-size: 11px">
									Editor of USAK Energy Review</font></td>
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	<font face="Georgia" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 15pt"><b>Monday, 9 April 2007</b><br><br><p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-ansi-language: EN-US">This commentary is from USAK's Energy Review Newsletter <br />To subscribe email to <a href="mailto:energyreview@turkishweekly.net">energyreview@turkishweekly.net</a> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-ansi-language: EN-US"></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-ansi-language: EN-US">There are many new oil and gas pipelines which are built or planned to construct in the past few years on the <st1:place w:st="on"><st1:placetype w:st="on">territory</st1:placetype> of <st1:placename w:st="on">Eurasia</st1:placename></st1:place>. Such a number of projects make us to talk about the inflation in transit corridors. Without a doubt one of the main reasons for this increase is the desire of states to ensure safe transit routes for transporting of hydrocarbons. <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-ansi-language: EN-US"><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-ansi-language: EN-US">Israel</span></st1:place></st1:country-region><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-ansi-language: EN-US"> is also no exception and also searches for additional corridors in importing oil for its own market. Encircled by the potential enemies <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Israel</st1:place></st1:country-region>, as any other country, needs to ensure its national security, including in the field of energy. <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-ansi-language: EN-US"><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-ansi-language: EN-US">Ironically, situated in a region where the huge portion of oil world production realized, <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Israel</st1:place></st1:country-region> has not substantial deposits and mostly dependent on imports. The possibilities of purchasing oil from the neighboring Arab states are equal to zero, and therefore, <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Israel</st1:place></st1:country-region> is compelled to buy oil from suppliers that are outside of the region. <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-ansi-language: EN-US"><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-ansi-language: EN-US">Nowadays, <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Israel</st1:place></st1:country-region> demand is about 300,000 barrels of oil a day. Until the mid-1990s, oil has been imported from <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Egypt</st1:place></st1:country-region>. Now up to 80% of <st1:country-region w:st="on">Israel</st1:country-region>'s oil comes from <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Russia</st1:place></st1:country-region>. <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-ansi-language: EN-US"><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><v:shapetype id="_x0000_t75" stroked="f" filled="f" path="m@4@5l@4@11@9@11@9@5xe" o:preferrelative="t" o:spt="75" coordsize="21600,21600"><v:stroke joinstyle="miter"></v:stroke><v:formulas><v:f eqn="if lineDrawn pixelLineWidth 0"></v:f><v:f eqn="sum @0 1 0"></v:f><v:f eqn="sum 0 0 @1"></v:f><v:f eqn="prod @2 1 2"></v:f><v:f eqn="prod @3 21600 pixelWidth"></v:f><v:f eqn="prod @3 21600 pixelHeight"></v:f><v:f eqn="sum @0 0 1"></v:f><v:f eqn="prod @6 1 2"></v:f><v:f eqn="prod @7 21600 pixelWidth"></v:f><v:f eqn="sum @8 21600 0"></v:f><v:f eqn="prod @7 21600 pixelHeight"></v:f><v:f eqn="sum @10 21600 0"></v:f></v:formulas><v:path o:connecttype="rect" gradientshapeok="t" o:extrusionok="f"></v:path><o:lock aspectratio="t" v:ext="edit"></o:lock></v:shapetype><v:shape id="_x0000_s1026" style="MARGIN-TOP: -0.8pt; Z-INDEX: -1; MARGIN-LEFT: 0px; WIDTH: 99.65pt; POSITION: absolute; HEIGHT: 110.5pt" wrapcoords="-162 0 -162 21453 21600 21453 21600 0 -162 0" type="#_x0000_t75"><v:imagedata o:title="pipeline_bridge[1]" src="file:///C:\DOCUME~1\USAK\LOCALS~1\Temp\msohtml1\01\clip_image001.jpg"></v:imagedata><w:wrap type="tight"></w:wrap></v:shape><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-ansi-language: EN-US">In the 1960s, during the ascent of Arab nationalism in the region, <st1:country-region w:st="on">Israel</st1:country-region> has to find a partner in the face of <st1:place w:st="on"><st1:country-region w:st="on">Iran</st1:country-region></st1:place> which also carious about the growing wave of Pan-Arabism. For this reason, <st1:country-region w:st="on">Israel</st1:country-region> as a country aspiring to a stable flow of oil, and <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Iran</st1:place></st1:country-region>, as a state which is desire to export own oil to the European market, have agreed to construct a pipeline Ashelon-Eilat. This pipeline was to have been held throughout <st1:country-region w:st="on">Israel</st1:country-region> and connect terminals at the Mediterranean Sea and the <st1:place w:st="on">Red Sea</st1:place>. This pipeline was planned as an alternative to transport via the Suez Canal, which by that time had been nationalized by <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Egypt</st1:place></st1:country-region>. <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-ansi-language: EN-US"><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-ansi-language: EN-US">Both Israeli cities are in strategic locations and the convenient for the transportation of oil to bypass Canal. However, the military luck <st1:country-region w:st="on">Israel</st1:country-region> against <st1:country-region w:st="on">Egypt</st1:country-region> and the change of the political regime in <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Iran</st1:place></st1:country-region> in the late 1970s failed to realize of this project. <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-ansi-language: EN-US"><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-ansi-language: EN-US">Today, the project received a second breath. The Israeli government is again reviving the project. Not a doubt in the first place was done in order to guarantee the supply of Russian oil to their markets. But dependence on Russian oil is also not welcomed condition to <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Israel</st1:place></st1:country-region>, and this state is looking for additional routes. That alternative emerged after realization of Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan pipeline. <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-ansi-language: EN-US"><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-ansi-language: EN-US">The Azerbaijani oil has come to the coast of the Mediterranean Sea and from here with tankers has been transported to <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Israel</st1:place></st1:country-region>. <st1:country-region w:st="on">Israel</st1:country-region> has far-reaching plans not only for the import of Russian and Caspian oil, but also for the transit of oil through their territory to Ashelon-Eilat pipeline from the Mediterranean to the <st1:place w:st="on">Red Sea</st1:place>. It would have been possible to make further oil exports to the Far East and <st1:place w:st="on">South Asia</st1:place>. Thus, the pipeline will be able to be active again, but this time in the opposite direction. <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-ansi-language: EN-US"><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-ansi-language: EN-US">It is noteworthy that in the case of active operation of the pipeline in the region the alternative regional oil will be involved and thus may change balance of forces in the region. In revitalizing the pipeline for oil from the Caspian region and <st1:country-region w:st="on">Russia</st1:country-region> will come through <st1:country-region w:st="on">Israel</st1:country-region> to the <st1:place w:st="on">Far East</st1:place>.<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-ansi-language: EN-US"><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-ansi-language: EN-US"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes">&nbsp;</span>Russian oil came to the region in the early 20th century. The English businessman owner of Shell Company Marcus Samuel has transported <st1:city w:st="on">Baku</st1:city> oil with tankers from <st1:city w:st="on">Batumi</st1:city> port through the Bosporus and <st1:city w:st="on">Suez</st1:city> canals to the markets of the <st1:place w:st="on">Far East</st1:place>. <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-ansi-language: EN-US"><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-ansi-language: EN-US">Today, transportation of oil with the same route is much more problematic because of the limited traffic through the same these water gates and environmental issues. However, the realization of the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan and Ashelon-Eilat pipelines creating new opportunities to reach Asian energy markets, which are growing rapidly. <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-ansi-language: EN-US"><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-ansi-language: EN-US">Completion of Ashelon-Eilat project is viable, given that it does not require expensive. <st1:country-region w:st="on">Azerbaijan</st1:country-region> and <st1:country-region w:st="on">Turkey</st1:country-region> have already shown interest in this project, so there are many look forward to the time when tankers from the Red Sea will remove the non-Arab oil to <st1:country-region w:st="on">India</st1:country-region> and <st1:country-region w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">China</st1:place></st1:country-region>.&nbsp;</span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-ansi-language: EN-US"><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 12pt 0cm"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Helvetica; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica"><o:p>For your comments:</o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 12pt 0cm"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Helvetica; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica"><o:p></o:p></span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: blue; FONT-FAMILY: Helvetica; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica"><a href="mailto:rovsen@azerimail.net">rovsen@azerimail.net</a> </span><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: Helvetica; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p>This commentary is from USAK's Energy Review Newsletter <br />To subscribe email to <a href="mailto:energyreview@turkishweekly.net">energyreview@turkishweekly.net</a> </p></font></div></td>
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