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													<font face="Georgia" color="#003366" size="5">Turkey's EU Membership's Impact on Black Sea Rim</font></b></td>
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	<font face="Georgia" style="font-size: 16px; line-height: 15pt"><b>Monday, 18 July 2005</b><br><br><p class="MsoBodyTextIndent" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 36pt; TEXT-INDENT: -36pt; TEXT-ALIGN: justify; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list 36.0pt"><font size="2"><font face="Times New Roman"><span lang="EN-US">Countries that abut the </span><place><span lang="EN-US">Black Sea</span></place><span lang="EN-US"> are more of a difficulty for </span><place><span lang="EN-US">Europe</span></place><span lang="EN-US"> in terms of integration, liberalization, and democratization. The </span><place><span lang="EN-US">Black Sea</span></place><span lang="EN-US"> littorals are </span><country-region><place><span lang="EN-US">Turkey</span></place></country-region><span lang="EN-US">, </span><country-region><place><span lang="EN-US">Bulgaria</span></place></country-region><span lang="EN-US">, </span><country-region><place><span lang="EN-US">Rumania</span></place></country-region><span lang="EN-US">, </span><country-region><place><span lang="EN-US">Moldavia</span></place></country-region><span lang="EN-US">, </span><country-region><place><span lang="EN-US">Ukraine</span></place></country-region><span lang="EN-US">, the </span><country-region><place><span lang="EN-US">Russia</span></place></country-region><span lang="EN-US">, and </span><country-region><place><span lang="EN-US">Georgia</span></place></country-region><span lang="EN-US">. The country with the longest </span><place><span lang="EN-US">Black Sea</span></place><span lang="EN-US"> coast, </span><country-region><place><span lang="EN-US">Turkey</span></place></country-region><span lang="EN-US">, also has the strategic straits of </span><city><place><span lang="EN-US">Istanbul</span></place></city><span lang="EN-US"> and &Ccedil;anakkale, which connect the </span><place><span lang="EN-US">Black Sea</span></place><span lang="EN-US"> to the </span><place><span lang="EN-US">Mediterranean</span></place><span lang="EN-US">. However, only those seven countries should not solely occupy one&rsquo;s mind when one speaks of the </span><place><span lang="EN-US">Black Sea</span></place><span lang="EN-US"> basin. The </span><place><span lang="EN-US">Black Sea</span></place><span lang="EN-US"> is the gateway that connects the </span><place><span lang="EN-US">Caucasus</span></place><span lang="EN-US"> to the rest world. Almost all Northern Balkan territories are in this basin. Many Central and Eastern European countries, through the </span><place><span lang="EN-US">Danube</span></place><span lang="EN-US">, link to the </span><place><span lang="EN-US">Mediterranean</span></place><span lang="EN-US"> via the </span><place><span lang="EN-US">Black Sea</span></place><span lang="EN-US">. While being a transit spot on the Asia-Europe route, it is also a critical junction in the north-south course. With Bulgarian, Romanian and prospect Turkish accession to the EU, the entire western and southern coasts of the </span><place><span lang="EN-US">Black Sea</span></place><span lang="EN-US"> would become EU territory, and this would warrant a renewed interest in the need and potential for </span><place><span lang="EN-US">Black Sea</span></place><span lang="EN-US"> regional cooperation.<a title="" style="mso-footnote-id: ftn1" href="http://www.turkishweekly.net/FCKeditor/editor/fckeditor.html?InstanceName=comments_text&amp;Toolbar=Default#_ftn1" name="_ftnref1"><span class="MsoFootnoteReference"><span style="mso-special-character: footnote"><span class="MsoFootnoteReference"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-fareast-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.0pt; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">[1]</span></span></span></span></a> </span></font></font></p><p class="MsoBodyTextIndent" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 35.4pt; TEXT-ALIGN: justify"><font size="2"><font face="Times New Roman"><span lang="EN-US">The Black Sea Economic Cooperation Organization (BSEC) was established in early 1990s, at </span><country-region><place><span lang="EN-US">Turkey</span></place></country-region><span lang="EN-US">&rsquo;s initiative and bearing in mind the fact that the </span><place><span lang="EN-US">Black Sea</span></place><span lang="EN-US"> basin cannot be confined to littorals, </span><country-region><place><span lang="EN-US">Albania</span></place></country-region><span lang="EN-US">, </span><country-region><place><span lang="EN-US">Azerbaijan</span></place></country-region><span lang="EN-US">, </span><country-region><place><span lang="EN-US">Armenia</span></place></country-region><span lang="EN-US">, and </span><country-region><place><span lang="EN-US">Greece</span></place></country-region><span lang="EN-US"> were invited to join. While some groups like to think of the BSEC as an alternative to the EU, on the contrary, it has functioned to complement the EU enterprise by aiming integration and stability in this sub-region. As the pioneer of the BSEC initiative, </span><country-region><place><span lang="EN-US">Turkey</span></place></country-region><span lang="EN-US"> expects the organization to improve economic relations, curtail ethnic conflict, and maintain regional cooperation at all levels. This is precisely the reason why </span><country-region><place><span lang="EN-US">Turkey</span></place></country-region><span lang="EN-US"> worked hard to bring </span><country-region><place><span lang="EN-US">Armenia</span></place></country-region><span lang="EN-US"> and </span><country-region><place><span lang="EN-US">Greece</span></place></country-region><span lang="EN-US">, both of which had troubles with </span><country-region><place><span lang="EN-US">Turkey</span></place></country-region><span lang="EN-US"> at their foundation stages, into the organization. While its successes are limited in the commercial domain, an investment bank has been formed within the BSEC framework. In the realm of security, the Black Sea Peace Force (Blackseafor) has become operational. Even though cooperation has been attained in cultural and other matters, it has to be said that the results are far from satisfactory. This is primarily due to the fact that the political will and economic means have not been mustered at the disposal of the organization. Yet, it was said that the </span><place><span lang="EN-US">Black Sea</span></place><span lang="EN-US"> basin is at the center of </span><place><span lang="EN-US">Europe</span></place><span lang="EN-US">&rsquo;s most troublesome regions. A spring of cooperation and healing to emanate from the </span><place><span lang="EN-US">Black Sea</span></place><span lang="EN-US"> will contribute to regions such as the Balkans, </span><place><span lang="EN-US">Caucasus</span></place><span lang="EN-US">, and </span><place><span lang="EN-US">Eastern Europe</span></place><span lang="EN-US"> that experience problems with liberalization and democratization. The said regions also constitute a liability for the EU. Both the EU and the </span><country-region><place><span lang="EN-US">US</span></place></country-region><span lang="EN-US"> labor onerously to bring about progress in the region, but complain about the lack of success. Every step that </span><country-region><place><span lang="EN-US">Turkey</span></place></country-region><span lang="EN-US"> takes towards EU membership will improve the </span><place><span lang="EN-US">Black Sea</span></place><span lang="EN-US"> vision. </span><country-region><place><span lang="EN-US">Greece</span></place></country-region><span lang="EN-US"> is already an EU member, however, is not a </span><place><span lang="EN-US">Black Sea</span></place><span lang="EN-US"> littoral and lacks the strength to project its EU vision on the </span><place><span lang="EN-US">Black Sea</span></place><span lang="EN-US">. On the other hand, the sea was once termed an &ldquo;Ottoman Turkish lake&rdquo; when many ethnic and religious groups were living on the </span><place><span lang="EN-US">Black Sea</span></place><span lang="EN-US"> shores under Turkish rule. It can be said that the true power to shape the </span><place><span lang="EN-US">Black Sea</span></place><span lang="EN-US"> rests in the hands of </span><country-region><place><span lang="EN-US">Turkey</span></place></country-region><span lang="EN-US"> and </span><country-region><place><span lang="EN-US">Russia</span></place></country-region><span lang="EN-US">. </span><country-region><place><span lang="EN-US">Ukraine</span></place></country-region><span lang="EN-US">&rsquo;s significance should also not go unnoticed. Nonetheless, </span><country-region><place><span lang="EN-US">Turkey</span></place></country-region><span lang="EN-US"> poses as the only country among the three to be able to extend EU policies towards the region. Rumanian and Bulgarian accession to the EU will undoubtedly contribute to that end, but true success cannot be attained without taking the strongest countries into consideration. </span><country-region><place><span lang="EN-US">Turkey</span></place></country-region><span lang="EN-US">, full member of the EU, will wield the dynamism to bring the shores of the </span><place><span lang="EN-US">Black Sea</span></place><span lang="EN-US"> closer. Meanwhile, with </span><country-region><place><span lang="EN-US">Turkey</span></place></country-region><span lang="EN-US">, </span><country-region><place><span lang="EN-US">Bulgaria</span></place></country-region><span lang="EN-US">, and </span><country-region><place><span lang="EN-US">Rumania</span></place></country-region><span lang="EN-US"> full members of the EU, more than half of the </span><place><span lang="EN-US">Black Sea</span></place><span lang="EN-US"> shores will become EU territories and will set a great example to the rest of the region&rsquo;s countries.</span></font></font></p><p class="MsoBodyTextIndent" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 35.4pt; TEXT-ALIGN: justify"><font size="2"><font face="Times New Roman"><span lang="EN-US">Concurrently, the EU will gain in different fields with the </span><place><span lang="EN-US">Black Sea</span></place><span lang="EN-US"> basin falling under EU jurisdiction. First of all, the transport routes vital for the EU will be secured and properly regulated. Environmental pollution on the </span><place><span lang="EN-US">Danube</span></place><span lang="EN-US"> and the </span><place><span lang="EN-US">Black Sea</span></place><span lang="EN-US"> will be better controlled. Becoming an important energy route, the basin would ensure the safety and stability of the routes as they carry energy towards the EU. In addition to all these factors, the </span><place><span lang="EN-US">Black Sea</span></place><span lang="EN-US"> basin is a very important sector for EU-related drugs, arms, and human trafficking. In case the </span><place><span lang="EN-US">Black Sea</span></place><span lang="EN-US"> basin is not handled as a whole, but by individual countries that work their way around independently, no results would be obtained and the current problems would simply remain. </span><country-region><place><span lang="EN-US">Turkey</span></place></country-region><span lang="EN-US">&rsquo;s EU membership will hinder passage to the </span><place><span lang="EN-US">Black Sea</span></place><span lang="EN-US"> from the </span><place><span lang="EN-US">Middle East</span></place><span lang="EN-US"> and the </span><place><span lang="EN-US">Caucasus</span></place><span lang="EN-US">. Along with Rumanian and Bulgarian memberships, </span><country-region><place><span lang="EN-US">Georgia</span></place></country-region><span lang="EN-US">, </span><country-region><place><span lang="EN-US">Russia</span></place></country-region><span lang="EN-US">, </span><country-region><place><span lang="EN-US">Ukraine</span></place></country-region><span lang="EN-US">, and </span><country-region><place><span lang="EN-US">Moldavia</span></place></country-region><span lang="EN-US"> would be left and can be more easily secured within the BSEC framework.<p>NATO&rsquo;s widening towards Black Sea shores and Turkish support for that cause can be a good example for EU enlargement. It should not be too hard to imagine the impact on European security and integration of having three NATO and EU members bordering the Black Sea.<br/><br/>Sedat LACINER (MA and PhD): Director, ISRO.</p><p>JTW</p><p>17 July 2005</p><p class="MsoBodyTextIndent" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 35.4pt; TEXT-ALIGN: justify"></p></span></font></font></p><p>NATO&rsquo;s widening towards Black Sea shores and Turkish support for that cause can be a good example for EU enlargement. It should not be too hard to imagine the impact on European security and integration of having three NATO and EU members bordering the Black Sea.<br/><br/>Sedat LACINER (MA and PhD): Director, ISRO.</p><p>JTW</p><p>17 July 2005</p><p class="MsoBodyTextIndent" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 35.4pt; TEXT-ALIGN: justify"></p><div style="mso-element: footnote-list"><hr align="left" width="33%" size="1"/></div><div id="ftn1" style="mso-element: footnote"><p class="MsoFootnoteText" style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-ALIGN: justify"><a title="" style="mso-footnote-id: ftn1" href="http://www.turkishweekly.net/FCKeditor/editor/fckeditor.html?InstanceName=comments_text&amp;Toolbar=Default#_ftnref1" name="_ftn1"><span class="MsoFootnoteReference"><span lang="EN-US"><span style="mso-special-character: footnote"><span class="MsoFootnoteReference"><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; FONT-FAMILY: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-fareast-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">[1]</span></span></span></span></span></a><font size="2"><font face="Times New Roman"><span lang="EN-US"> Michael Emerson and </span><place><city><span lang="EN-US">Nathelie Tocci</span></city><span lang="EN-US">, </span><country-region><i style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal"><span lang="EN-US">Turkey</span></i></country-region></place><i style="mso-bidi-font-style: normal"><span lang="EN-US"> as a Bridge and Spearhead, Integrating EU and Turkish Foreign Policy</span></i><span lang="EN-US">, (</span><city><place><span lang="EN-US">Brussels</span></place></city><span lang="EN-US">: CEPS, 2004), p. 12. <p></p></span></font></font></p></div></font></div></td>
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